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中国在全球新冠肺炎疫情冲击下“先进先出”,经济全面复苏。2020年经济增长预计2.1%,展望2021年中国经济增长预计到9%,两年平均在5.5%,经济恢复到潜在增长水平。但全球因疫情冲击经济收缩,供应链调整,中国为应对全球经济变化提出了“双循环”的新的发展战略思路。新的战略转型阶段性趋势特征已经显现,但与之配套的宏观资源配置体制改革则仍未全面展开。中国宏观资源配置体制是基于出口导向的国际“大循环”战略而建立的,因此推动基于“双循环”发展的宏观资源配置体制调整成为最重要的改革领域。只有基于新的发展阶段和“双循环”战略目标下的宏观资源配置体制再建设和对原有体制进行改革,才能从机制层面上推动中国战略转型取得成功。
<<Under the impact of COVID-19,China’s economy has recovered. Economic growth is projected to be 2.1% in 2020. Looking ahead to 2021,China’s global economic growth is projected to be 9%,averaging 5.5% for two years,and the economy will return to its potential growth rate. However,due to the impact of the epidemic,the global economy has contracted,the supply chain has been adjusted,and the global economy has been rebalanced. In response to the changes in the global economy,China has put forward a new development strategy of “Double Cycle”. The new trend of strategic transformation stage has appeared,but the reform of the corresponding macro-resource allocation system has not been fully carried out. China’s macro-resource allocation system is established on the basis of export-oriented international “Double Cycle” strategy. Therefore,promoting macro-resource system adjustment based on “Double Cycle” development has become the most important reform focus area. Only based on the new development stage and the goal of “Double Cycle” under the macro resource allocation system reconstruction and reform of the original system,that will promote the success of China’s strategic transformation from the mechanism level.
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