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    “全面小康”进程经济增长结构优化总体检测——2000~2018年动态趋向分析

    摘要

    2000~2018年,国内生产总值构成比中第二产业从45.54%降至40.65%,第三产业从39.79%升至52.16%;收入法产值构成比中“居民部门”劳动者报酬从51.38%降至47.30%,“政府部门”生产税净额从15.40%降至14.24%,“企业部门”营业盈余从19.06%升至25.04%;支出法产值构成比中最终消费率从63.30%降至54.31%,资本形成率从34.33%升至44.85%;经济生活收支中财政收入比从13.36%升至20.37%,居民收入比从46.37%降至45.11%,居民消费率从35.91%降至31.53%。产值、财政收入、财政支出、居民收入、总消费人均值地区差全都缩小,居民收入、总消费人均值城乡比也全都缩小,“不平衡不充分的发展”多有改善。全国经济增长结构优化评价:城乡、地区无差距理想值横向测评为91.78;2000年、2005年、2010年、2015年和2017年自身基数值纵向测评分别为243.32、169.04、121.74、105.88和102.18。横向看距离理想值存在差距,纵向看各五年期以来进展明显。

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    Abstract

    From 2000 to 2018,in the countrywide composition of gross domestic product,the secondary industry decreased from 45.54% to 40.65%,and the tertiary industry increased from 39.79% to 52.16%;in that of income approach components of gross domestic product,the compensation of employees (resident sector) decreased from 51.38% to 47.30%,the net taxes on production (government sector) decreased from 15.40% to 14.24%,and the operating surplus (enterprise sector) increased from 19.06% to 25.04%;in that of gross domestic product by expenditure approach,the final consumption rate decreased from 63.30% to 54.31%,and the capital formation rate increased from 34.33% to 44.85%;in that of income and expenditure by primary distribution,the revenue rate of public finance increased from 13.36% to 20.37%,the household income rate decreased from 46.37% to 45.11%,and the household consumption rate decreased from 35.91% to 31.53%. The regional gaps of the gross domestic product,total revenue of government finance,total expenditure of government finance,household income and total consumption in per capita value were all reduced;and the urban-rural per capita ratio of the household income and total consumption were all also reduced;thus “the unbalanced and inadequate development” improved a lot. The evaluation of the countrywide structure optimization of the economic growth:the lateral evaluation of the ideal ideal value without urban-rural and regional gap was 91.78;the vertical evaluation of self-base value was 243.32,169.04,121.74,105.88 and 102.18 respectively in 2000,2005,2010,2015 and 2017. Compared with the ideal lateral value,there was still a gap,and from the longitudinal view of the every five-year period,the progresses were made obviously.

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    作者简介
    王亚南:王亚南,云南省社会科学院研究员,文化发展研究中心主任,主要研究方向为民俗学、民族学及文化理论、文化战略和文化产业。
    李群:李群,中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所大数据与经济模型研究室主任,研究员,博士后合作导师,主要从事不确定性经济预测与评价、人才资源与经济发展、国家治理、林业生态评价等领域的研究。
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